United States: Country Report | 2024
AI Generated Analysis based on UNHCR Forced Displacement Statisitics.
Executive Summary
To: The High Commissioner From: Lead Strategist & Speechwriter Subject: Key Trends Executive Summary: United States Data Report (2024)
Key Trends in U.S. Displacement & Protection
The United States is facing a displacement challenge of historic proportions, acting as a critical nexus for global forced migration. By the start of 2024, the country hosted 3.6 million people of concern to UNHCR, a staggering 21 per cent increase of over 635,000 individuals in a single year. This dramatic rise, fueled by escalating instability in the Americas and beyond, is driven primarily by a surge in the ‘Others of concern’ category, reflecting a complex and rapidly evolving protection landscape.
This unprecedented influx has placed the nation’s asylum system under immense pressure. With over 1.1 million new case actions filed, the backlog of pending cases has swelled to nearly 3.5 million. This widening protection gap translates into years of uncertainty for those seeking safety, while significant disparities in recognition rates among different nationalities—ranging from 4% to 37%—underscore the urgent need for enhanced capacity and equitable access to protection.
Yet, amidst these immense challenges, a powerful counter-narrative of hope is emerging. The United States has demonstrated a remarkable acceleration in providing durable solutions. In a critical turning point, the number of solutions offered—such as resettlement—has now decisively surpassed the number of new refugee recognitions. In 2024, over 105,000 solutions were provided, a testament to the progress possible when resources and political will are mobilized. While global needs remain vast, this trend proves that addressing backlogs and providing futures for the displaced is an achievable and essential goal.
Population Overview
Population Overview: The United States of America
By the start of 2024, the United States of America hosted 3.6 million people of concern to UNHCR, reinforcing its position as a major destination for those seeking safety and protection. This constitutes a significant rise of 635,500 individuals, or 21 per cent, compared to the beginning of 2023. The data reveals a complex and rapidly evolving displacement landscape within the country.
Behind these stark numbers, the composition of the population is highly concentrated. The vast majority of individuals—nearly 3.2 million, or 88 per cent of the total—fall under the category of ‘Others of concern to UNHCR’. This group was also the principal driver of the overall increase, growing by more than 582,000 people in a single year. While smaller in absolute terms, other populations also expanded, with the number of asylum-seekers rising by nearly 20,000 and the refugee population growing by almost 12,000.
Demographic analysis for a segment of over 600,000 individuals, for whom detailed age and gender data is available, shows that working-age adults (18-59 years) form the largest cohort. This granular data, which includes 100 per cent gender disaggregation, is vital for UNHCR and partners to tailor protection and assistance programmes, from livelihood opportunities for adults to education for children and specialized care for the elderly.
The profile of the refugee population further underscores the impact of specific global crises. While the United States provides refuge to people from diverse nations, arrivals from a single country of origin account for a substantial 171,000 refugees, a figure significantly larger than that of any other nationality. This highlights how specific geopolitical instability and conflict continue to shape displacement flows towards the country. Collectively, these trends depict a growing and increasingly complex protection environment, demanding a sustained and well-resourced response.
Demographics
AI Insight: Treemap of populations of concern in the United States of America, where one category accounts for 3.2 million of the total 3.62 million individuals., This treemap visualizes the breakdown of the 3,619,000 individuals classified as populations of concern in the United States of America as of 2024. The data is segmented into seven distinct population types, with the area of each rectangle being proportional to its size. The distribution is highly skewed, with one single category dominating the dataset, comprising 3,184,162 individuals, which is approximately 88% of the total. Two other categories have significant populations of around 217,000 each. Notably, four of the seven categories, including ‘Returned refugees’ and ‘Returned IDPs’, have a recorded value of zero. This is statistically confirmed by the median value being zero, while the mean is over 517,000, heavily influenced by the largest group.
AI Insight: Population pyramid showing the age and gender distribution for 601,691 persons of concern in the United States of America in 2024, where the largest cohort is adults aged 18 to 59., This population pyramid provides a detailed demographic breakdown of the 601,691 persons of concern residing in the United States of America as of 2024. The population includes refugees, asylum-seekers, internally displaced persons, stateless persons, and others of concern to UNHCR. A key strength of this dataset is that gender disaggregation is available for 100% of the individuals.
The chart is structured with age cohorts on the vertical axis (0-4, 5-11, 12-17, 18-59, and 60+ years) and population counts on the horizontal axis, split by gender. The shape of the pyramid provides insights into the population’s composition. The largest group is the adult cohort (18-59 years), representing the primary working-age population. The younger age groups (0-17) and the elderly group (60+) constitute the dependent populations.
This granular data is vital for humanitarian response planning. It enables UNHCR and its partners to tailor programs and allocate resources effectively, addressing the specific needs related to education for children, livelihood opportunities for adults, and healthcare and support for the elderly, while also ensuring that the distinct protection risks and needs of different genders are met.
Trends Over Time
AI Insight: Column chart of population types in the United States of America from 2019 to 2024, where ‘Others of concern to UNHCR’ constitute the vast majority of the population and show a significant increase., This column chart displays the number of people (in thousands) for six different population types of concern to UNHCR in the United States of America, for each year from 2019 to 2024.
The statistical analysis reveals a highly skewed distribution. The category ‘Others of concern to UNHCR’ is by far the largest group, reaching a peak of over 3.18 million people in one of the years shown. This single category’s size heavily influences the overall figures, driving the mean population value across all categories to approximately 360,000, despite the median value being zero. This indicates that most other categories have very small populations. For instance, ‘Returned refugees’ has a maximum value of approximately 15,000 in one year but is zero for at least 75% of the time period. ‘Returned IDPs’ are consistently zero, which is expected for the context of the United States. The visualization starkly contrasts the immense and growing number of ‘Others of concern’ against the negligible figures for other population types.
AI Insight: Bar chart of changes in population groups in the United States between 2023 and 2024, where the ‘Others of concern’ category showed the largest increase of 582,695 people., This vertical bar chart illustrates the increases and decreases among UNHCR’s populations of concern in the United States of America, comparing data from the start of 2023 to the start of 2024. The chart highlights changes in absolute numbers and percentages for six distinct population groups.
The most significant change occurred in the ‘Others of concern to UNHCR’ category, which grew from 2,601,467 to 3,184,162, marking an increase of 582,695 people (+22.4%). The ‘Asylum-seekers’ population also saw a substantial rise, increasing by 19,598 individuals (+2.7%). The population of ‘Refugees’ increased by 11,812 (+3.7%), and ‘Venezuelans displaced abroad’ grew by 21,379 (+3.0%).
Conversely, two population groups showed no change during this period. The number of ‘Internally displaced persons’ remained at zero, and the ‘Stateless persons’ population was stable. Overall, the total population of concern in the USA increased by 635,484 people, from 3,011,289 in 2023 to 3,646,773 in 2024.
AI Insight: Horizontal bar chart of the number of refugees in the United States by top 9 countries of origin for 2024, where one country of origin accounts for a significantly higher number of refugees (171,002) than all others., This horizontal bar chart details the refugee population in the United States as of 2024, broken down by the top nine countries of origin. The y-axis lists the countries, while the x-axis quantifies the number of people. The data reveals a highly skewed distribution. While the number of refugees from a single origin ranges from a minimum of 14,022 to a maximum of 171,002, there is a notable outlier. One country is the origin for 171,002 refugees, a figure substantially larger than the others. The median number of refugees across these top countries is 28,290, and the mean is 43,533; the large difference highlights the impact of the top country’s high value. The majority of the other top countries fall within a much smaller range, with 50% of them having between 16,916 and 43,544 refugees. This visualization effectively communicates that while the U.S. receives refugees from various nations, a single country’s crisis is the primary driver of refugee arrivals in 2024.
Geography & Movements
Geography & Movements: The Americas
The data on forced displacement related to the United States of America reveals a complex, dual reality: the country is simultaneously a major host nation for those fleeing persecution and a country of origin for its own citizens seeking protection abroad. This dynamic underscores the multifaceted nature of displacement in the region.
As a host country, the United States continues to be a significant destination for forcibly displaced populations. Longitudinal data indicates a substantial growth in the total number of people in need of international protection between 2019 and 2025, with the composition of origin countries evolving in response to shifting global and regional crises. As of 2024, the country hosted 435,330 refugees. Behind these stark numbers, the data reveals that these populations are not evenly distributed by origin; a single country accounts for over 171,000 refugees, representing nearly 40 per cent of the total. This concentration highlights the profound and lasting impact of a specific protracted crisis on displacement patterns reaching the country.
Conversely, a notable, though smaller-scale, trend of outward displacement from the United States is also evident. Analysis of the 41 countries hosting refugees and asylum-seekers from the United States highlights an exceptionally concentrated distribution. The overwhelming majority of this population—over 60,150 individuals—is hosted by a single country of asylum. The figures for other nations are dramatically lower, with the median number of people hosted across all destination countries being just 17. This pattern strongly suggests that movements are not widely dispersed but are instead driven by specific factors such as geographical proximity, established diaspora communities, or particular legal pathways. Together, these intersecting trends paint a picture of the United States as a central nexus in the geography of forced displacement, serving as both a critical haven for many and a point of departure for a concentrated few.
AI Insight: Choropleth map of destination countries for people of concern from the United States of America in 2024, where the population is highly concentrated in a few countries, primarily in North America and Europe., This choropleth map illustrates the global distribution of refugees, asylum-seekers, and other people of concern to UNHCR originating from the United States of America as of 2024. Countries are color-coded based on the total number of these individuals they host, with darker shades indicating higher populations.
Statistically, the data reveals a highly skewed distribution across 41 host countries. The total number of individuals in any single country ranges from a minimum of 5 to a maximum of 4,363. The median number of people hosted is 17, indicating that half of the destination countries host a very small number of individuals. This contrasts sharply with the mean of 155, which is inflated by a few countries with exceptionally large populations. The 75th percentile is at 60 individuals, further highlighting that the vast majority of host countries have low figures.
The key insight from this visualization is that displacement from the United States is not widely dispersed. Instead, it is concentrated in a small number of destination countries. The significant difference between the median and the maximum value underscores the presence of major outliers, suggesting that specific legal, social, or geographical factors are driving people of concern from the U.S. to select destinations.
Origin of Displaced Populations
AI Insight: Horizontal bar chart of the top 9 countries of origin for refugees in the United States in 2024, where one country accounts for a significantly higher number of refugees (over 171,000) than any other., This horizontal bar chart details the number of refugees in the United States as of 2024, categorized by their top 9 countries of origin, plus an ‘Others’ category. The data reveals a highly skewed distribution. The total number of refugees across these 10 categories is 435,330. One country of origin is a significant outlier, accounting for the maximum of 171,002 refugees. The number of refugees from the other origins is substantially lower, with a median of 28,290 people per category. The minimum number of refugees from any single origin listed is 14,022. The large difference between the mean (43,533) and the median (28,290) further emphasizes the impact of the top country of origin on the overall statistics. The chart visually represents this disparity with one bar being markedly longer than the rest.
AI Insight: An alluvial plot of the origin countries for forcibly displaced populations in the United States from 2019 to 2025, where the total population shows significant growth and the composition of top origin countries evolves over the period., This alluvial plot visualizes the changing composition of origin countries for forcibly displaced populations within the United States from 2019 to 2025. The data, presented in thousands of people, tracks 14 distinct countries of origin.
Each vertical axis represents a year, and the colored bands flowing between them represent the population from a specific country. The width of each band is proportional to the number of people, making it easy to see which origin countries contribute the most to the total displaced population in any given year.
Statistically, the dataset reveals a wide range in population sizes, from a minimum of 7,350 to a maximum of 875,756 people from a single country in a year. The mean population size is approximately 169,207, but a high standard deviation of 168,032 indicates significant variability and a right-skewed distribution. This suggests that while some origin countries contribute relatively small populations, a few contribute very large numbers, and these numbers have likely increased substantially over the period. The chart’s primary function is to illustrate the dynamic shifts in migration and displacement patterns affecting the United States, highlighting which national groups have grown or shrunk over this seven-year span.
Destination
AI Insight: A bar chart of the top 10 destination countries for forcibly displaced people from the United States of America as of 2024, where one country hosts a significantly larger population than all others., This vertical bar chart displays the top 10 countries of asylum for forcibly displaced populations originating from the United States of America, according to 2024 data. The visualization highlights a highly skewed distribution among the destination countries.
Statistical analysis reveals a significant outlier: one country hosts a total of 60,150 individuals, making it the primary destination by a vast margin. The remaining nine countries host considerably smaller populations. The median number of displaced persons across the ten countries is 1,012, meaning half of the destinations host fewer people than this. The number of people in the other countries ranges from a minimum of 394 to a maximum of approximately 1,769 for the 75th percentile.
The average (mean) number of displaced persons is 7,370, but this figure is heavily skewed by the single top destination. The large standard deviation of 18,618 further illustrates the extreme variance in the data. In summary, the data clearly indicates that while displaced people from the USA have sought refuge in multiple countries, one nation hosts the overwhelming majority of this population.
Asylum System
Asylum Systems Under Pressure
Asylum systems globally faced immense pressure in 2024, with the United States of America serving as a prominent example of the scale of new displacement and the resulting strain on protection capacity. The data reveals an unprecedented surge in new asylum applications filed in the country, with case actions reaching a peak of over 1.1 million. This dramatic influx, driven by escalating instability and violence, particularly in the Americas, has stretched the U.S. asylum system to its limits.
Behind these stark numbers lies a growing protection gap. The cumulative number of asylum applications has consistently and significantly outpaced the number of decisions rendered since 2020. This has resulted in a progressively widening backlog, with total pending cases reaching approximately 3.44 million by 2024. For asylum-seekers, this gap translates into a lengthy and uncertain wait for a decision on their claim for international protection, often lasting years.
Despite these challenges, the system processed a staggering volume of cases. In 2024 alone, over 3.2 million decisions were recorded across various stages of the Refugee Status Determination (RSD) process. However, analysis of outcomes for the top 10 nationalities reveals significant disparities. Refugee recognition rates for these groups varied widely, from as low as 4 per cent to a high of 37 per cent, indicating that the likelihood of receiving protection is heavily influenced by country of origin. In a noteworthy, albeit smaller-scale, trend underscoring the universal nature of the search for safety, over 16,000 decisions were made on asylum claims lodged by U.S. nationals in other countries, though recognition rates remained low. This complex landscape highlights the urgent need for enhanced capacity, efficiency, and fairness to ensure that those fleeing persecution can access protection in a timely manner.
AI Insight: Bar chart of asylum applications and decisions in the United States from 2019 to 2024, where the total number of cases shows a dramatic increase, reaching an unprecedented peak in the most recent years., This bar chart illustrates the volume of asylum applications and decisions in the United States annually from 2019 to 2024. The data is aggregated by year and categorized by the asylum stage (e.g., applications filed vs. decisions rendered).
Statistical analysis reveals a significant and accelerating upward trend over the period. The dataset comprises 18 observations across 6 years, with case totals ranging from a low of 18,177 to a peak of 1,189,166. The average number of cases per category per year is approximately 271,472, but the high standard deviation of 314,927 and the heavily skewed distribution indicate that this average is not representative of a typical year. The 75th percentile is 301,785, while the maximum value is nearly four times higher, highlighting the extremity of the recent surge.
From a UNHCR perspective, this trend reflects a complex and evolving protection landscape. The lower figures in the early part of the period may be linked to processing slowdowns and border policies enacted during the COVID-19 pandemic. The subsequent exponential growth, particularly the peak of over 1.1 million, points to a massive increase in asylum seekers arriving in the U.S., driven by escalating displacement and instability in the Americas and other regions. This surge places immense strain on the U.S. asylum system’s capacity to process claims in a timely and fair manner. The subtitle’s note that one person may have multiple applications is important, as these figures represent case actions, not necessarily unique individuals.
AI Insight: Alluvial diagram of Refugee Status Determination (RSD) decision pathways in the United States, where the flow of 3,263,957 decisions recorded in 2024 is traced through various stages and outcomes., This alluvial diagram provides a comprehensive overview of the Refugee Status Determination (RSD) process in the United States for the year 2024, based on a total of 3,263,957 recorded decisions. The visualization maps the journey of asylum cases through different stages, represented by vertical axes. Flows or ribbons connect these stages, with the thickness of each ribbon being directly proportional to the number of decisions (cases) following that specific path.
The underlying data consists of 132 distinct flows, connecting 16 unique status categories across what appears to be three primary stages in the determination process. The volume of decisions in these flows varies dramatically, from a minimum of 12 to a maximum of 387,680. This visualization is crucial for UNHCR analysts to understand the capacity, efficiency, and outcomes of the U.S. asylum system. It allows for the identification of significant pathways, potential bottlenecks, and the ultimate distribution of decisions, such as grants of protection, denials, or other administrative closures.
AI Insight: Area chart of cumulative asylum applications versus decisions in the USA from 2020 to 2024, where the number of applications consistently outpaces decisions, creating a widening processing gap and a growing backlog., This area chart visualizes the cumulative totals of asylum applications filed against first-instance decisions made in the United States of America, spanning from the start of 2020 to 2024. The vertical axis represents the cumulative count of cases, while the horizontal axis marks the progression over these years.
The chart displays two distinct areas: the upper line represents the total number of applications received, and the lower line represents the total number of decisions rendered. The space between these two lines visually represents the pending caseload, or ‘backlog,’ of the asylum system.
A clear and significant trend is observable: the cumulative number of applications has grown at a much faster rate than the number of decisions. This has resulted in a progressively widening gap between the two metrics over the five-year period. By 2024, the total cumulative applications reached approximately 3.44 million, while the number of decisions lagged significantly, demonstrating a substantial increase in the asylum backlog. The chart includes annotations that explicitly measure this gap in terms of average processing time in days, highlighting the practical consequence of the growing backlog for asylum seekers.
Recognition Rates
AI Insight: Bar chart of 2024 refugee recognition rates in the United States for the top 10 countries of origin, where rates vary significantly from 4.2% to 37.0%., This bar chart displays the 2024 refugee recognition rates for asylum seekers in the United States, focusing on the 10 countries of origin with the highest number of total decisions. The chart is ordered by the total volume of decisions made, not by the recognition rate itself.
A detailed statistical analysis reveals significant disparities in outcomes based on nationality. Across these ten countries, the average (mean) refugee recognition rate is 15.9%. However, the rates range widely from a minimum of 4.16% to a maximum of 37.0%. The median recognition rate is 11.7%, which is lower than the mean, suggesting that a few countries have higher recognition rates that pull the average up.
The total number of decisions processed for these countries is substantial, with an average of 224,420 cases per country and a range from 78,064 to 452,712. The number of individuals granted refugee status (‘Recognized’) ranges from 4,847 to 126,438. The primary insight from this visualization is that among the nationalities with the most asylum claims processed in the U.S., the likelihood of being granted refugee status varies dramatically.
AI Insight: Bar chart of the 2024 Refugee Recognition Rate for United States of America nationals by the top 10 countries of asylum, where rates are generally low, with a maximum of 14%., This vertical bar chart displays the 2024 refugee recognition rates for asylum seekers from the United States of America. The data is presented for the top 10 countries of asylum, which are ordered along the x-axis based on the total number of decisions made, not by the recognition rate itself.
Statistical Analysis: The chart visualizes the ‘RefugeeRecognitionRate’ for each of the 10 countries. Across these countries, a total of 16,370 decisions were made regarding asylum claims from US nationals. The recognition rates are generally low, with an average of 5.93%. The rates range from a minimum of 0% to a maximum of 14%.
The volume of applications is highly skewed; the country with the most decisions processed 12,968 cases, while the average is 1,637. This indicates that a few countries handle the vast majority of claims from US nationals. In total, 512 individuals were granted refugee status. When including complementary protection, the total recognition rate rises to an average of 10.7%, with a maximum of 27.6%.
Context: The data highlights that while thousands of asylum applications from US nationals are processed, the likelihood of receiving refugee status is low in the countries with the highest caseloads. The chart’s ordering by total decisions, rather than by rate, emphasizes the asylum-seeking trends by volume for this nationality.
Solutions
Solutions
Amidst the backdrop of escalating global displacement, the pursuit of durable solutions has shown encouraging signs of progress in key resettlement countries, offering a vital counter-narrative to the rising protection needs worldwide. The data reveals a significant upward trajectory in solutions being found for forcibly displaced people in the United States of America, particularly in the post-pandemic period. After a sharp decline in 2020 to just under 2,400 solutions—a figure largely attributable to global mobility restrictions—the recovery has been robust and sustained. The number of solutions accelerated from over 10,900 in 2022 to nearly 18,800 in 2023, and further still to an estimated 26,400 by 2024. This represents more than a tenfold increase from the low point in 2020.
Behind these stark numbers lies a more profound story about the relationship between newly identified protection needs and the capacity to provide lasting solutions. An analysis comparing refugee recognitions with available solutions in the United States highlights a critical inflection point. For years, the number of individuals granted refugee status consistently outpaced the number of solutions available, creating a growing gap. However, the data for 2023 indicates a reversal of this trend, where for the first time, available solutions (75,043) surpassed the number of new recognitions (64,068).
This positive development widened dramatically in 2024, with solutions reaching an estimated 105,531 against 35,701 new recognitions. This shift suggests not only an enhanced capacity for resettlement and integration but also a concerted effort to address the backlog of those in protracted situations awaiting a chance to rebuild their lives. While the global need for solutions continues to far outstrip supply, this trend demonstrates that dedicated focus and resourcing can yield tangible results, providing hope and a future for thousands of displaced individuals.
AI Insight: Column chart of the number of durable solutions for forcibly displaced people in the United States of America from 2019 to 2024, where the number of solutions has increased significantly since 2021, following a sharp dip in 2020., This column chart illustrates the trend in durable solutions for forcibly displaced people in the United States of America over a six-year period. The x-axis represents the years from 2019 to 2024, and the y-axis indicates the number of solutions provided. The data reveals a significant upward trend, with a notable dip in 2020. In 2019, the average number of solutions was approximately 6,875. This figure dropped to a low of about 2,396 in 2020, likely reflecting the global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on resettlement and integration processes. A recovery began in 2021 with an average of 3,419 solutions. The trend accelerated sharply from 2022 onwards, with the average number of solutions jumping to 10,992 in 2022, rising further to 18,761 in 2023, and reaching a peak of 26,383 in 2024. The overall pattern shows a substantial increase in solutions being found for displaced people in the U.S. in recent years.
AI Insight: Area line chart of refugee recognitions versus available solutions in the United States of America from 2019 to 2024, where available solutions surpassed recognitions in 2023 and grew significantly higher in 2024., This area line chart presents a comparison between the annual number of refugee recognitions and available durable solutions in the United States of America from 2019 to 2024. The chart displays two trend lines: one for recognitions and one for solutions.
From 2019 to 2022, the number of refugee recognitions was consistently higher than the number of solutions. In 2019, there were 44,577 recognitions versus 27,501 solutions. Both metrics saw a sharp decline in 2020 (18,177 recognitions, 9,586 solutions) and 2021 (20,590 recognitions, 13,675 solutions).
A significant shift began in 2022, when the numbers nearly converged at 46,629 recognitions and 43,966 solutions. In 2023, for the first time in this period, solutions (75,043) exceeded recognitions (64,068). This gap widened dramatically in 2024, with solutions reaching 105,531 while recognitions were at 35,701. The chart’s footnotes (a, b) provide specific definitions for ‘recognitions’ and ‘solutions’ respectively.