Ecuador: Country Report | 2024
AI Generated Analysis based on UNHCR Forced Displacement Statisitics.
Executive Summary
Of course. Here is the ‘Key Trends’ executive summary for the High Commissioner.
KEY TRENDS: ECUADOR AT THE EPICENTRE OF A REGIONAL CRISIS
Ecuador now stands at the epicentre of a profound and dual-natured displacement crisis, a reality that demands our urgent and unified attention. The country’s protection landscape has been fundamentally reshaped, with the population of concern surging to include over 439,000 individuals, primarily driven by the exodus from Venezuela. This massive influx adds immense pressure to a nation that has for decades provided sanctuary to refugees, including a long-standing population of nearly 20,000 Colombians. In a stark illustration of the region’s instability, Ecuador is simultaneously becoming a significant country of origin, with nearly 450,000 of its own citizens forced to seek protection abroad. This dual reality—as both a critical host and a source of displacement—underscores the multifaceted fragility gripping the Americas.
The immense generosity of Ecuador and its people is being tested by severely strained national systems. The country’s asylum process, a lifeline for thousands, is buckling under the weight of demand. Asylum-seekers face a staggering average wait of 1,323 days for a decision, trapping them in a prolonged state of uncertainty that hinders their ability to work, integrate, and rebuild. Furthermore, stark disparities in refugee recognition rates based on nationality point to systemic challenges that require immediate support to ensure fair and efficient protection for all who seek it, regardless of their origin.
The most alarming trend, however, is a near-total gap between the provision of safety and the availability of long-term solutions. Our data reveals a painful paradox: while Ecuador granted protection to over 13,300 refugees between 2019 and 2023, the number of durable solutions—through resettlement, local integration, or voluntary repatriation—was zero. This is not a statistic; it is a generation being left in limbo. Granting asylum is a life-saving act, but it cannot be the final destination. Without a renewed international commitment to responsibility-sharing and the creation of tangible pathways to a dignified future, we risk turning protection into a permanent state of protracted crisis for hundreds of thousands.
Population Overview
Population Overview: Ecuador
The demographic landscape of populations of concern in Ecuador has been profoundly reshaped in recent years, marked by a significant shift in the composition of displaced and vulnerable groups. The data reveals that the most defining trend has been the exponential growth of the ‘Others of concern’ category. This population, which was negligible prior to 2020, surged to become the largest single cohort, numbering over 439,000 individuals by mid-2024. This constitutes a staggering 93 per cent of this population group, overshadowing the more stable, yet still significant, populations of refugees and asylum-seekers.
Behind these stark numbers, the composition of the established refugee population in Ecuador remains distinctly shaped by long-standing regional dynamics. Refugees from neighbouring Colombia continue to represent the overwhelming majority, with 19,710 individuals accounting for nearly 89 per cent of all refugees in the country. This underscores the protracted nature of this displacement situation and Ecuador’s critical, long-standing role as a primary host country. While smaller in number, populations fleeing global crises, including from Afghanistan and the Syrian Arab Republic, highlight the country’s continued provision of international protection.
The demographic profile of the overall population of concern points to specific protection needs and capacities. The population is heavily concentrated in the primary working-age bracket of 18 to 59 years, which comprises the largest cohort for both males and females, with a slight female majority overall. This structure signals a pressing need for interventions focused on livelihoods, local economic integration, and access to the labour market. Despite the long-term growth trends, recent data from 2023 to 2024 indicates a net reduction across several monitored population groups. These shifts may reflect a range of factors, including onward movements or updates in registration methodologies, illustrating the fluid and complex nature of displacement in the country.
Demographics
AI Insight: A treemap chart of the Population of Concern in Ecuador by population type, where ‘Others of concern’ constitute the vast majority with over 439,000 individuals., This treemap visualization details the composition of the 469,000 individuals classified as ‘Population of Concern’ in Ecuador as of 2024. The chart uses proportionally sized rectangles to represent each category’s share of the total population.
The most significant finding is the overwhelming predominance of the ‘Others of concern’ category, which numbers 439,097 individuals. This single group accounts for approximately 93.6% of the total population of concern, and its corresponding rectangle visually dominates the treemap.
The remaining categories are significantly smaller. The other non-zero population types, such as refugees, asylum-seekers, and Venezuelans displaced abroad, collectively make up the remaining 6.4% (approximately 29,900 individuals). According to the data, three of the seven reported categories have populations of zero: ‘Returned refugees’ and ‘Returned IDPs’ are explicitly listed with no individuals.
AI Insight: Population pyramid of persons of concern in Ecuador by age and gender, where the 18-59 age group represents the largest cohort for both females and males., This population pyramid displays the age and gender distribution for the 3,405,216 persons of concern (including refugees, asylum-seekers, and IDPs) in Ecuador as of 2024. The vertical axis categorizes the population into five age groups: 0-4, 5-11, 12-17, 18-59, and 60+. The horizontal axis represents the percentage of the population for each gender.
Key statistical observations include: - Dominant Age Group: The population is heavily concentrated in the working-age adult cohort (18-59), which comprises the largest bars on the pyramid. This group accounts for 35.8% of the female population and 32.2% of the male population. - Gender Distribution: There is a slight majority of females in the total population. The mean percentage across female age cohorts is 10.4%, compared to 9.6% for male cohorts. - Age Structure: The pyramid shows a constricted base, indicating a smaller proportion of children and adolescents relative to the large adult population. The elderly population (60+) constitutes the smallest demographic segment.
Overall, the demographic structure points to a significant working-age population of concern in Ecuador, with a balanced, slightly female-majority gender distribution. This highlights potential needs related to livelihoods, economic integration, and adult-focused protection services.
Trends Over Time
AI Insight: Column chart of population types in Ecuador from 2019 to 2024, where the ‘Others of concern’ category experiences a dramatic increase, becoming the largest group by 2024., This column chart details the number of persons of concern (in thousands) in Ecuador by population type, for each year from 2019 to 2024. The data reveals a significant shift in the demographic composition of displaced populations over this period.
The most striking trend is the exponential growth of the ‘Others of concern’ category. This group, which was negligible in the early years, surged to become the largest population by a wide margin, reaching approximately 504,000 individuals by 2024. In contrast, the ‘Asylum-seekers’ population, while significant, remained relatively stable, fluctuating around the 60,000 to 70,000 mark. The ‘Refugees’ category also shows stability but at a lower count. Other categories tracked, including ‘Venezuelans displaced abroad’, ‘Internally displaced persons’, and ‘Stateless persons’, consistently represent very small numbers throughout the six-year period. The statistical profile, with a mean value of approximately 88,000 and a median of just 3,500, highlights the profound impact of the ‘Others of concern’ category on the overall figures, skewing the average significantly upwards.
AI Insight: Bar chart of population changes in Ecuador from 2023 to 2024, where all six monitored population groups either decreased in size or remained stable, with the largest drop being 39,681 people., This horizontal bar chart details the absolute and percentage changes for six distinct population groups of concern in Ecuador between 2023 and 2024. The chart visualizes decreases as bars extending to the left from a vertical zero-axis.
Statistical analysis reveals that no population group saw an increase. Four of the six groups experienced a decrease, while two groups registered no change. The decreases in population size ranged from 338 to a maximum of 39,681 individuals. The average change across all six groups was a decrease of 11,784 people.
For three of the groups that saw a reduction, the percentage change is also displayed, with values of 4%, 5%, and 8%. The data indicates a net reduction in the recorded populations of concern in Ecuador for the period. These decreases could be attributed to various factors, including onward movements, returns, successful integration or resettlement, or updates in registration and data verification processes.
AI Insight: Horizontal bar chart of the number of refugees in Ecuador by their top 9 countries of origin in 2024, where the population from Colombia (19,710) is overwhelmingly larger than all other origins., This horizontal bar chart displays the population of refugees in Ecuador by their top nine countries of origin, plus an ‘Others’ category, as of 2024. The data reveals a highly skewed distribution, dominated by refugees from Colombia.
Key Observations: - The total number of refugees from the listed origins is 22,126. - The vast majority, 19,710 individuals (approximately 89% of the total shown), are from Colombia. This figure is substantially larger than that of any other group, highlighting the long-standing displacement situation related to Colombia and Ecuador’s significant role as a host country. - The ‘Others’ category, an aggregate of all other nationalities not in the top nine, is the second-largest group with 1,296 individuals. - Following Colombia, the next largest single country of origin is Afghanistan, with 337 refugees. - The remaining countries of origin have significantly smaller populations, ranging from 223 for the Syrian Arab Republic down to 52 for Iraq.
Detailed breakdown of refugee populations by country of origin: - Colombia: 19,710 - Others: 1,296 - Afghanistan: 337 - Syrian Arab Republic: 223 - Cuba: 147 - Peru: 116 - Russian Federation: 104 - Iran (Islamic Rep. of): 82 - Yemen: 59 - Iraq: 52
The chart underscores that while Ecuador hosts refugees from diverse global crises, the refugee response in the country is primarily shaped by the displacement from neighboring Colombia.
Geography & Movements
Regional Focus: The Dual Reality of Displacement in Ecuador
The Americas continue to witness complex and overlapping displacement dynamics, with Ecuador at the epicentre of a dual trend, serving as both a major host country and, increasingly, a country of origin for those seeking international protection. The data reveals a profound demographic shift within Ecuador’s borders, driven almost entirely by the crisis in Venezuela.
An analysis of population trends from 2019 to 2025 shows the number of forcibly displaced people from Venezuela grew exponentially, reaching a peak of over 500,000 and establishing them as the predominant displaced group. This influx has reshaped the protection landscape in the country, far surpassing the more stable, long-standing displaced population from Colombia. As of 2024, the scale of this situation is clear: of the nearly 20,000 recognized refugees in Ecuador from the top nine countries of origin, the vast majority are from Venezuela. This places immense pressure on national systems and host communities, highlighting the enduring need for robust international support and regional solutions.
Concurrently, Ecuador itself has become a significant source of forcibly displaced people. Behind these stark numbers lies a story of a principal migration corridor directed northwards. The data underscores a highly concentrated outward movement, with the United States emerging as the primary destination, hosting 448,064 individuals from Ecuador. This figure represents a significant outlier, as the median number of displaced Ecuadorians across other top ten destination countries is just over 9,000. While smaller populations find refuge in Europe and neighbouring countries in the Americas, this pattern points to a focused exodus, likely driven by a confluence of compounding economic, social, and security factors. This dual reality—hosting large displaced populations while seeing its own citizens flee—illustrates the multifaceted nature of forced displacement in the region and the urgent need for comprehensive protection responses at every point of the journey.
AI Insight: World map of destination countries for people of concern to UNHCR from Ecuador, where the United States is the primary destination, hosting nearly 100,000 individuals., This choropleth map illustrates the global distribution of people of concern to UNHCR originating from Ecuador as of 2024. The data encompasses refugees, asylum-seekers, and other populations in need of international protection. Countries are color-coded to represent the number of individuals hosted, with darker shades indicating higher numbers.
The analysis of the underlying data, which covers 34 destination countries, reveals a highly concentrated distribution. The median number of individuals hosted per country is 68, while the mean is significantly higher at 3,830, pointing to a strong right skew in the data. The population figures range from a minimum of 5 to a maximum of 99,588.
The primary destination country is the United States, hosting the maximum observed population of 99,588 individuals. Other significant destination regions, though with considerably smaller populations, are located in the Americas and Western Europe. Three-quarters of the host countries have fewer than 452 individuals each, underscoring the concentration in a few key nations. This pattern highlights a principal migration corridor from Ecuador to the United States, likely driven by a combination of economic, social, and security factors.
Origin of Displaced Populations
AI Insight: Horizontal bar chart of the number of refugees in Ecuador by their top 9 countries of origin for 2024, where Venezuela is the origin for the vast majority of refugees., This horizontal bar chart displays the population of refugees in Ecuador in 2024, categorized by their top nine countries of origin, plus an ‘Others’ category. The y-axis lists the countries of origin, and the x-axis measures the number of people.
The data is heavily skewed, indicating a dominant country of origin. The maximum value recorded is 19,710 refugees from a single country, which, given the regional context, is Venezuela. This figure is significantly higher than the numbers from other countries. The overall mean number of refugees across all listed origins is 2,322.6, but this is inflated by the one high value. A more representative measure is the median, which is 116 people. The data shows that 75% of the listed origin countries account for 280 or fewer refugees each, with the minimum count from a top origin being 52. This highlights that while Ecuador hosts a diverse refugee population, the scale of displacement from Venezuela is substantially larger than from any other single nation.
AI Insight: * Alluvial diagram of the forcibly displaced population in Ecuador by country of origin from 2019 to 2025, where the population from Venezuela increases dramatically to become the largest group., This alluvial diagram illustrates the evolution of the forcibly displaced population in Ecuador, categorized by their country of origin (Venezuela, Colombia, and Other), for the years 2019 through 2025. The width of each colored stream is proportional to the number of people from that origin in a given year, showing how the composition changes over time.
The most significant trend depicted is the massive growth of the displaced population from Venezuela. This stream widens considerably across the chart, indicating a rapid influx that establishes Venezuelans as the predominant group of forcibly displaced people in Ecuador by the end of the period. The dataset’s maximum value of 508,935 individuals corresponds to this group’s peak.
In contrast, the population from Colombia, while substantial, is shown as a relatively stable flow. Its width remains more consistent throughout the years, suggesting a more established and less volatile population size, which is reflected in the dataset’s median value of 61,124.
The stream for ‘Other’ origins is the smallest and remains consistently narrow, representing a minor fraction of the total forcibly displaced population in Ecuador during this timeframe. Overall, the visualization effectively communicates a major demographic shift in Ecuador’s displaced population, driven almost entirely by the crisis in Venezuela. The data for later years may include projections.
Destination
AI Insight: Column chart of the top 10 destination countries for displaced people from Ecuador, where the United States is the primary destination by a significant margin., This vertical bar chart illustrates the top ten destination countries for forcibly displaced people originating from Ecuador, as of 2024. The data shows a highly skewed distribution, with one country being the predominant destination. The United States hosts the largest population by far, with 448,064 individuals. This figure is a significant outlier, heavily influencing the average of 55,927 across the top ten countries. The median value is much lower at 9,151, which better represents the typical number of displaced persons in the other nine countries. The range for these top destinations is substantial, from a minimum of 2,005 to the maximum of 448,064. The interquartile range shows that 50% of these countries host between 5,154 and 13,770 people. In summary, the visualization highlights that while several countries are destinations for displaced Ecuadorians, the United States hosts a vastly larger population compared to all others.
Asylum System
Strain and Disparities in National Asylum Systems
The data reveals the immense pressure on national asylum systems in key host countries, with Ecuador serving as a prominent example. Annual asylum claims have shown significant volatility, at times exceeding 20,000 cases a year, reflecting the dynamic nature of displacement in the Americas.
Behind these stark numbers lies a growing strain on processing capacity. The gap between cumulative asylum applications and first-instance decisions has widened consistently, resulting in a substantial backlog. By 2024, the average processing time for an asylum claim had reached a staggering 1,323 days, leaving tens of thousands of applicants in a prolonged state of uncertainty.
Despite these challenges, the system continued to process a large volume of cases, with 237,944 decisions recorded in 2024 alone. However, the data reveals that outcomes varied dramatically depending on an individual’s country of origin. Refugee recognition rates for the top ten nationalities ranged from as high as 67 per cent to less than 1 per cent, highlighting significant disparities in protection outcomes for those seeking safety.
This complex picture is further compounded by the fact that Ecuador is also a country of origin for asylum seekers. In 2024, Ecuadorian nationals also faced varied prospects of receiving international protection abroad, with recognition rates in their top ten countries of asylum ranging from over 31 per cent to zero. Collectively, these trends underscore the dual pressures on Ecuador—as both a major host and a source country—and point to an urgent need for strengthened asylum capacity and more equitable responsibility-sharing across the region.
AI Insight: Bar chart of asylum applications and decisions in Ecuador from 2019 to 2024, where the total number of cases fluctuated significantly, with a peak year reaching over 20,000 cases., This bar chart provides a summary of asylum applications and decisions registered in Ecuador annually from 2019 to 2024. The vertical axis represents the total count of cases, while the horizontal axis represents the year. The data is categorized by the stage in the asylum process.
Statistical analysis indicates significant volatility in the caseload over this period. The number of cases in any given category and year ranges from a low of 810 to a high of 20,850. The median number of cases is 4,112, while the mean is 5,632, suggesting that the peak years had a strong upward pull on the average.
This fluctuation reflects the dynamic nature of displacement in the region and changes in processing capacity. The subtitle notes that one person may have multiple applications, meaning these figures represent the volume of casework rather than the number of unique individuals seeking asylum. For UNHCR, this data is crucial for monitoring protection needs, allocating resources, and strategic planning in Ecuador, a key host country in Latin America.
AI Insight: A parallel sets plot of Refugee Status Determination (RSD) decisions in Ecuador in 2024, where the flow of 237,944 cases illustrates the pathways from application to final outcomes such as recognition, rejection, or closure., This parallel sets plot provides a detailed visualization of the outcomes of 237,944 Refugee Status Determination (RSD) decisions recorded in Ecuador during 2024. The chart maps the flow of asylum cases through various stages of the determination process.
The visualization is structured with vertical axes representing key stages in the RSD procedure. Flowing bands connect these axes, with the thickness of each band being directly proportional to the number of individuals or cases moving along that specific pathway. This allows for an immediate visual comparison of the volume of different outcomes.
Key analytical insights from this chart include: - The overall recognition rate for refugee status, distinguishing between decisions made at the first instance and those made after an appeal. - The volume of cases that are rejected or otherwise closed (e.g., due to the applicant withdrawing their case or losing contact). - The primary pathways within the system, highlighting where the largest numbers of applicants are channeled.
By tracing these flows, analysts and stakeholders can understand the efficiency and outcomes of the national asylum system in Ecuador, identifying potential bottlenecks or significant trends in decision-making for a large cohort of applicants.
AI Insight: Area chart of cumulative asylum applications versus decisions in Ecuador from 2020 to 2026, where the widening gap between applications and decisions shows a growing backlog, reaching an average processing time of 1,323 days in 2024., This area chart illustrates the cumulative total of asylum applications and first-instance decisions in Ecuador for the period 2020 to 2026. The x-axis represents the year, and the y-axis shows the cumulative count. There are two primary series depicted: the top line represents cumulative applications, and the bottom line represents cumulative decisions. The shaded area between these two lines visually represents the growing gap, or backlog, of pending cases. The data shows a consistent and widening disparity, with the number of applications significantly outpacing the number of decisions processed each year. A key annotation highlights the situation in 2024, where the gap between cumulative applications (approximately 53,900) and decisions (approximately 12,880) translates to an average processing time of 1,323 days. This visualization effectively demonstrates the increasing strain on Ecuador’s asylum system and the prolonged uncertainty faced by asylum seekers awaiting a decision.
Recognition Rates
AI Insight: Bar chart of Refugee Recognition Rates in Ecuador for 2024 by the top 10 countries of origin, where rates vary significantly from a high of 66.7% to a low of 0.6%., This vertical bar chart displays the refugee recognition rates in Ecuador for 2024. The data is segmented by the top 10 countries of origin, which are ordered based on the total number of asylum decisions made, from highest to lowest.
Statistical Analysis: The analysis covers 10 distinct nationalities. The primary metric, the ‘Refugee Recognition Rate’ (the number of ‘Recognized’ cases divided by ‘Total Decided’ cases), shows a wide distribution. The rates range from a minimum of 0.62% to a maximum of 66.7%. The mean recognition rate across these groups is 22.5%, while the median is 14.4%, suggesting that a few nationalities have significantly higher recognition rates that pull the average up.
The total number of decisions made per country also varies dramatically, from 217 for one nationality to 186,118 for another. This indicates a large difference in the scale of asylum applications from these countries.
When including ‘Complementary Protection’, the ‘Total Recognition Rate’ (recognized plus complementary protection) ranges from 0.8% to 71.2%, with a mean of 25.0%. The chart highlights the substantial differences in protection outcomes for asylum seekers in Ecuador depending on their country of origin.
AI Insight: Bar chart of the 2024 Refugee Recognition Rate for Ecuadorian nationals in the top 10 countries of asylum, where rates vary widely from 31.6% down to 0%., This vertical bar chart displays the 2024 Refugee Recognition Rate for asylum seekers from Ecuador. The data is presented for the ten countries of asylum that have processed the highest number of applications, ordered by the total number of decisions made.
Statistical analysis reveals a significant disparity in recognition rates across these countries. The average Refugee Recognition Rate is 8.1%, with a median of 6.3%. The rates range from a maximum of 31.6% in one country to a minimum of 0% in another, highlighting vastly different outcomes for Ecuadorian asylum seekers depending on where they apply for protection.
The countries are ranked based on the total volume of asylum decisions, which is also highly variable, ranging from 289 to 52,916 decisions per country. This indicates that a few countries handle the vast majority of claims from Ecuadorian nationals.
When considering all forms of protection (including complementary protection), the average Total Recognition Rate increases to 10.9%, suggesting that some individuals who are not granted refugee status may receive other forms of international protection.
Solutions
Solutions: An Elusive Goal for Millions
The ultimate aspiration for every refugee and displaced person is a durable solution that ends their exile and allows them to rebuild their lives in safety and dignity. Yet, for the vast majority, this remains a distant and elusive goal. The global landscape of solutions is characterized by a profound and widening gap between the number of people in need of such resolutions and the opportunities available. In the immense dataset of global displacement, a successful solution can often appear as a singular, isolated event—one person resettled, one family returning home, one individual granted citizenship—a rare positive outcome against a backdrop of overwhelming and protracted need.
This stark reality is illustrated with painful clarity in national-level data. The situation in Ecuador, for example, reveals a critical disconnect between protection and long-term solutions. Between 2019 and 2023, the country formally recognized over 13,300 people as refugees, granting them vital international protection. Projections indicate that thousands more will receive this status in the coming years.
Behind these numbers, however, lies a troubling counter-narrative. The data reveals that for this entire period, the number of recorded durable solutions—whether through resettlement to a third country, formal local integration, or safe voluntary repatriation—remained at zero. This constitutes a growing population living in protracted uncertainty, legally protected but unable to move forward with their lives.
The Ecuadorian case is emblematic of a broader global challenge. While the act of granting asylum is a life-saving intervention, it cannot be the final step. Without a concerted and renewed international commitment to expanding all pathways to durable solutions, millions of refugees will remain in limbo. Closing this gap requires not only robust humanitarian funding but also the political will to foster inclusion, remove legal barriers to integration, and share responsibility for the world’s most vulnerable.
AI Insight: Text-based visualization of a single data point, where text is located at coordinates x=1 and y=1., This visualization is a text-based plot based on a minimal dataset containing only a single row and two numeric columns, ‘x’ and ‘y’. The statistical profile confirms there is one data point where both ‘x’ and ‘y’ have a value of 1. As a result, all summary statistics (mean, median, min, max) for both variables are 1, with no calculable standard deviation or correlation. The plot itself, rendered using a text geom, displays a single text element at the coordinate (1, 1). The visualization lacks any titles, subtitles, or axis labels, making its specific purpose ambiguous without further context.
AI Insight: Line chart of refugee recognitions versus available solutions in Ecuador from 2019 to 2025, where the number of recognitions significantly outpaces the number of solutions, which remains at zero throughout the period., This time-series line chart compares the number of individuals granted refugee status (‘recognitions’) with the number of durable solutions provided in Ecuador annually from 2019 to 2025, including projections for 2024-2025. The x-axis displays the years, and the y-axis measures the number of individuals.
The blue line representing refugee recognitions shows a variable trend. It began at 3,248 in 2019, then experienced a sharp decline to 810 in 2020, likely due to processing slowdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic. Subsequently, recognitions rebounded and grew steadily, reaching 2,069 in 2021, 3,443 in 2022, and 3,774 in 2023. Projections estimate a peak of 4,112 in 2024 before decreasing to 2,307 in 2025.
Critically, the data for ‘solutions’ (such as resettlement, local integration, or voluntary repatriation) is either zero or not reported for the entire period displayed. The visualization starkly highlights a persistent and significant gap between the number of people granted protection and the availability of long-term solutions. This suggests a growing population of recognized refugees in Ecuador who lack pathways to sustainable futures, underscoring a critical need for policy and program development focused on durable solutions.