Canada: Country Report | 2024

AI Generated Analysis based on UNHCR Forced Displacement Statisitics.

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Executive Summary

Of course. Here is the ‘Key Trends’ executive summary based on the provided data.


Population Overview

Population Overview

The number of people in need of international protection in Canada continued its significant upward trajectory, reaching new levels by the start of 2024. The data reveals a substantial increase in the overall population of concern, driven primarily by a surge in new asylum claims. This trend reflects Canada’s role as a significant destination for those fleeing persecution, conflict, and human rights violations amidst escalating global displacement.

The primary driver of this growth was a substantial rise in the number of asylum-seekers. Between the start of 2023 and 2024, the asylum-seeker population grew by over 94,000 individuals—a striking 47.5 per cent increase. This group now constitutes the single largest population of concern in the country, accounting for more than half of the total. The refugee population also saw considerable growth, underscoring the sustained need for protection.

Behind these stark numbers, the demographic profile of the overall population of concern reveals a unique composition. The data shows a pronounced concentration of working-age adults (18-59 years), with males in this cohort alone accounting for nearly half of the entire population. This atypical structure, distinct from a standard population pyramid, points to specific drivers of displacement or migration pathways that disproportionately affect adult males.

This concentration is also mirrored in the origins of the refugee population. While diverse, the intake is heavily influenced by a single major crisis, with one country of origin accounting for a significantly higher number of refugees than all other nationalities combined. Taken together, this rapid and large-scale influx places considerable pressure on Canada’s national asylum system, reception facilities, and integration services, highlighting the critical need for sustained support to ensure fair and efficient processing for all who seek safety.

Demographics

AI Insight: Treemap of the different types of Populations of Concern in Canada, where the total of 570,000 individuals is unevenly distributed across seven categories, with the largest single group accounting for more than half the total population., This treemap provides a detailed breakdown of the 570,000 individuals classified as Populations of Concern in Canada as of 2024. The chart uses rectangles of varying sizes to represent the proportion of each population type relative to the total. A larger rectangle signifies a larger population group.

The data is composed of seven distinct population categories, but the distribution is highly uneven. The largest single category accounts for 292,055 individuals, which is approximately 51.2% of the total population of concern.

The statistical profile further highlights this concentration: the median population size across the seven categories is zero, indicating that at least four of the seven categories have no individuals reported in this dataset. The 75th percentile value is 138,831, suggesting the presence of another significant population group after the largest one.

In conclusion, the visualization clearly demonstrates that the population of concern in Canada is heavily concentrated within a few key categories, with the majority of individuals belonging to just one or two groups.

AI Insight: Population pyramid of persons of concern in Canada by age and gender, where the 18-59 age group is the largest, containing a significantly higher proportion of males (49.4%) than females (28.2%)., This population pyramid displays the age and gender distribution for the 1,417,038 persons of concern (including refugees, asylum-seekers, and others) in Canada as of 2024. The data is fully disaggregated by gender across six age cohorts.

The most striking feature is the large concentration in the working-age adult category (18-59 years). This group constitutes the vast majority of the population, with males at 49.4% and females at 28.2%. The significant imbalance, with nearly half of the entire population being males aged 18-59, suggests specific drivers of displacement or migration affecting this demographic.

In contrast, younger age groups are considerably smaller. Children aged 0-4 make up 1.14% (male) and 0.66% (female) of the population. The 5-11 and 12-17 age groups show similarly small proportions. The older population (60+) is also a small fraction of the total. This demographic structure, characterized by a pronounced ‘youth bulge’ that is actually a ‘working-age male bulge’, is atypical for a standard population pyramid and points to a population profile heavily influenced by economic migration or specific protection needs related to adult males.

Geography & Movements

Geography & Movements

The geography of displacement in 2024 reveals a complex picture, with established host countries like Canada experiencing significant shifts in the scale and composition of their displaced populations. The data reveals a substantial increase in the total number of forcibly displaced people residing in Canada between 2019 and 2025. This growth is not uniform; rather, it has been driven by a sharp rise in arrivals from a few key countries of origin, whose populations have swelled to become the dominant groups.

Behind these stark numbers lies a story of profound diversity. A detailed analysis of refugees in Canada shows that the largest single group falls under a collective ‘Others’ category, numbering nearly 85,000 individuals. This figure, substantially larger than any single nationality, highlights that Canada provides protection to people fleeing a wide spectrum of global crises, many of which exist far from the international spotlight. This diversity underscores the country’s role as a destination for those seeking refuge from protracted and emerging conflicts alike.

In a striking contrast to its role as a major destination for the forcibly displaced, Canada is a country of origin for only a minimal number of people seeking protection abroad. The data confirms that cases of displacement from Canada are not only rare but also highly concentrated. Of the small number of Canadian citizens recorded as forcibly displaced globally, the vast majority—over 2,300 individuals—are hosted in a single neighboring country. The distribution among other host nations is sparse, with a median of just eight individuals per country, making the primary destination a significant outlier. This dual reality paints a clear picture: while Canada’s role as a global protection provider is growing in both scale and diversity, its own contribution to global displacement figures remains negligible and geographically contained.

AI Insight: Choropleth map of destination countries for displaced populations from Canada, where the United States is the primary destination, hosting a significant majority of the total population., This choropleth map visualizes the global distribution of displaced persons originating from Canada as of 2024. The data includes Refugees, Asylum-seekers, and other persons of concern to UNHCR. The map highlights that displacement from Canada is minimal and geographically concentrated.

Key Findings: Out of 241 countries and territories mapped, only 24 host displaced persons from Canada. The distribution is highly skewed, with the United States hosting the vast majority of these individuals.

Statistical Analysis: The number of displaced persons per country ranges from a minimum of 5 to a maximum of 291. The median (50th percentile) is 8, indicating that half of the host countries have 8 or fewer individuals. The 75th percentile is approximately 20, which underscores that the maximum value of 291 in the United States is a significant outlier.

Context: Canada is a high-income country and a major refugee-hosting nation, making it a rare country of origin for displaced populations. The small figures shown on the map reflect this reality. These cases often involve unique circumstances, such as asylum claims made by citizens abroad. The visualization effectively demonstrates both the low overall number and the strong concentration of this population in a single neighboring country.

Origin of Displaced Populations

AI Insight: Horizontal bar chart of the top 9 countries of origin for refugees in Canada in 2024, where the ‘Others’ category represents the largest population by a significant margin., This horizontal bar chart, titled ‘Canada: Refugees | 2024’, details the number of refugees in Canada from the top nine countries of origin, along with a consolidated ‘Others’ category. The y-axis lists the origins, and the x-axis quantifies the number of people.

Statistically, the data for the 10 categories is heavily right-skewed. The number of people per origin group ranges from 6,693 to a maximum of 84,736. The median value is 13,346, while the mean is substantially higher at 26,950, a difference that, along with a large standard deviation of 28,550, points to a significant outlier in the data.

The key insight from the chart is that the ‘Others’ category, at 84,736 people, is the largest group. This figure is more than 3.5 times the 75th percentile value (23,716), indicating that the combined population of refugees from countries outside the top nine is substantially larger than any single nationality group. The other specified countries of origin, which include Pakistan, Nigeria, and Colombia, have populations ranging from the minimum of 6,693 up to the 75th percentile. The chart effectively highlights the diverse origins of refugees in Canada beyond a few primary source countries.

AI Insight: Alluvial diagram of the origin of forcibly displaced populations in Canada from 2019 to 2025, where the total number increases significantly, driven by a sharp rise in population from a few key countries., This alluvial diagram illustrates the changing composition of forcibly displaced populations in Canada by their country of origin for the years 2019 through 2025. The data tracks 13 different countries of origin. Each colored stream represents a country, with its width proportional to the number of people (measured in thousands). The chart shows a dynamic shift over the seven-year period. Statistically, the population count from any single country ranges from 1,156 to a high of 233,496. The median population size is 12,360, while the mean is substantially higher at 27,496. This discrepancy, along with a high standard deviation, indicates that while most countries of origin contribute relatively stable and smaller populations, one or a few origin countries have experienced a massive surge, becoming the dominant groups in the overall displaced population in Canada by the end of the period.

Destination

AI Insight: Bar chart of the top 10 destination countries for forcibly displaced people from Canada in 2024, where one country hosts a significantly higher population (2,341) than the others., This vertical bar chart displays the top ten destination countries for forcibly displaced populations originating from Canada as of 2024. The data reveals a highly skewed distribution among the ten countries. The number of displaced persons ranges from a minimum of 71 to a maximum of 2,341. The mean number of individuals is 514, but the median is considerably lower at 152, indicating that the high average is driven by an outlier. The interquartile range shows that 50% of these destination countries host between 99 and 322 individuals. The primary insight is the significant concentration of displaced people in a single top destination, which hosts more than seven times the number of people as the country at the 75th percentile.

Asylum System

Asylum Systems Under Pressure

Global asylum systems continued to face unprecedented pressure in 2024, as the number of people seeking international protection reached new heights. The data reveals a significant upward trend in the volume of new claims, placing immense strain on the processing capacities of host countries. In Canada, for instance, the number of cases within the asylum system surged dramatically between 2019 and 2024, illustrating a trend seen in many parts of the world. This escalation in applications is outpacing the ability of states to render timely decisions, creating a significant and growing challenge for both asylum-seekers and the authorities responsible for their claims.

Behind these stark numbers lies a widening gap between new applications and the number of cases being adjudicated. Analysis of cumulative data shows that the backlog of pending cases has expanded considerably, with the rate of new arrivals far exceeding the output of first-instance decisions. This constitutes a critical bottleneck in the protection system, translating directly into longer waiting times for those in need. For individuals and families who have fled violence and persecution, these prolonged periods of uncertainty can have severe repercussions on their mental health, well-being, and ability to integrate into new communities.

The complexity of the determination process is substantial, with an analysis of over 923,000 decision pathways in Canada alone revealing the intricate journey of each claim. However, the final outcome remains highly dependent on an individual’s specific circumstances, including their country of origin. Refugee recognition rates for the top 10 nationalities in Canada varied starkly, from as low as 23 per cent to as high as 87 per cent. This disparity underscores that while access to asylum procedures must remain universal, outcomes are rightly guided by individual protection needs and the prevailing conditions in countries of origin. Conversely, claims lodged by nationals from countries with robust state protection, such as Canada, consistently show extremely low recognition rates abroad, reinforcing the foundational principles of the international protection regime.

AI Insight: Bar chart of asylum applications and decisions in Canada from 2019 to 2024, where the total volume of cases shows a significant increase in the most recent years., This bar chart displays the annual totals for different stages of the asylum process in Canada for the period 2019 to 2024. The data is aggregated by year and categorized by asylum stage, likely representing new applications, decisions rendered, and total pending cases.

Statistical analysis reveals a significant upward trend in the volume of cases over this period. Across all categories and years, the number of cases ranges from a minimum of 19,570 to a maximum of 188,145. The mean value is approximately 61,500, while the median is 48,671. The difference between the mean and median, along with the high maximum value, indicates a distribution skewed by a substantial surge in cases in the latter part of the period, particularly in 2023 or 2024.

An important contextual note is that these figures may not represent unique individuals, as one person can have more than one application or decision associated with their case under certain circumstances. The chart effectively illustrates the growing demand and processing load on Canada’s asylum system.

AI Insight: Parallel sets plot of Refugee Status Determination decision flows in Canada, where 923,019 decisions are tracked from initial categories through to final outcomes, highlighting the distribution of accepted, rejected, and other statuses., This parallel sets plot provides a detailed visualization of 923,019 Refugee Status Determination (RSD) decisions recorded in Canada for the year 2024. The chart illustrates the pathways of asylum claims through different stages of the determination process. The width of each colored band is directly proportional to the number of individuals or cases in that specific pathway.

The visualization is structured around three vertical axes, representing distinct stages or categorizations. The flows originate from an initial set of categories on the left, move through an intermediate decision stage in the center, and terminate in a final outcome category on the right. This structure allows for a clear understanding of how the initial cohort of applicants is partitioned and what the ultimate results of their claims are.

A statistical analysis of the 156 distinct pathways reveals a highly skewed distribution. While the total volume is 923,019 decisions, the individual pathway sizes vary dramatically, from zero to a maximum of 204,046. The median flow size is 6,726 decisions, indicating that a few major pathways account for a large proportion of the outcomes, while many other pathways represent smaller cohorts. This chart is a powerful tool for analyzing the primary trends and bottlenecks within Canada’s asylum decision-making framework.

AI Insight: Area chart of cumulative asylum applications versus decisions in Canada from 2020 to 2024, where the gap between incoming applications and processed decisions widens significantly, indicating a growing backlog and longer processing times., This area chart illustrates the growing disparity between the number of asylum applications received and the number of first-instance decisions made in Canada, with data from 2020 to 2024. The x-axis represents time, and the y-axis shows the cumulative total of cases.

The top line represents the cumulative number of asylum applications, while the bottom line tracks the cumulative number of decisions. The shaded area between these two lines visually represents the ‘gap’ or the backlog of pending cases.

Statistically, the data shows a steep upward trend in both applications and decisions. However, the slope for applications is significantly steeper than that for decisions, causing the gap between them to expand dramatically over the period. This indicates that the rate of new applications is consistently outpacing the system’s processing capacity. The title explicitly notes that this gap translates to an increase in the average processing time, which has reached a critical point by 2024. For individuals seeking asylum, this growing backlog means prolonged periods of uncertainty, which can have severe impacts on their well-being, family unity, and integration prospects.

Recognition Rates

AI Insight: Bar chart of Refugee Recognition Rates in Canada for 2024 by the top 10 countries of origin, where rates vary significantly from 23% to 87%., This horizontal bar chart displays the 2024 refugee recognition rates in Canada for asylum seekers from the 10 countries with the highest number of total decisions. The chart is ordered by the total volume of decisions per country, not by the recognition rate itself.

Statistical analysis reveals a wide disparity in outcomes based on country of origin. Across these ten countries, the average recognition rate is 50.3%, with a standard deviation of 22.7%, indicating high variability. The rates range from a low of 23.2% to a high of 87.0%. The median recognition rate is 46.0%.

The volume of decisions for these top 10 countries is substantial, ranging from 26,106 to 97,294 cases decided in the specified period. It is important to note that for this dataset, all ‘Recognized’ cases are classified as such, with no cases granted ‘Complementary Protection’. The chart underscores that an asylum seeker’s country of origin is a critical factor influencing the outcome of their claim in Canada.

AI Insight: Bar chart of Refugee Recognition Rates for nationals from Canada in their top 10 countries of asylum for 2024, where rates vary dramatically from 0% in at least half the countries to 100% in at least one., This bar chart presents the 2024 refugee recognition rates for asylum seekers originating from Canada, displayed for the ten countries with the highest number of total decisions. The countries are ordered by the total volume of asylum applications processed.

Statistical analysis reveals a significant variance in outcomes. The data covers 10 countries and a total of 987 decisions for Canadian nationals. The number of decisions in a single country ranges from 30 to 402. The average refugee recognition rate across these countries is 14.2%. However, the median rate is 0%, indicating that at least half of these top 10 countries of asylum did not grant refugee status to any applicants from Canada. The rates span the full possible range, from 0% to a maximum of 100%. Across all 10 countries, a total of 116 individuals were recognized as refugees. It is also notable that no individuals were granted complementary protection, making the Total Recognition Rate identical to the Refugee Recognition Rate. The chart underscores that while asylum claims from Canadian nationals are being processed, the probability of a positive decision is generally low and highly dependent on the asylum country.

Solutions

Section: Durable Solutions

In a world where forced displacement continues to reach unprecedented levels, durable solutions represent tangible pathways to hope, stability, and the chance to rebuild lives. While the gap between the number of people in need of a solution and those who can access one remains vast, detailed analysis from key resettlement countries reveals important trends in commitment and capacity.

The data reveals the profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on these life-altering pathways. In Canada, for example, the number of individuals achieving a durable solution plummeted from an average of over 15,300 in 2019 to just 3,554 in 2020, as global travel halted and processing systems slowed. This disruption created a temporary but significant backlog, where for two years the number of newly recognized refugees outpaced the available solutions.

However, behind these stark numbers of disruption lies a story of remarkable recovery and intensified commitment. A significant turning point occurred in 2022, when the number of solutions provided not only rebounded but surged to 72,240—more than double the 30,598 new refugee recognitions that year. This momentum continued, peaking in 2024 with nearly 80,000 solutions achieved against approximately 48,700 new recognitions.

This trend is significant. When the number of solutions consistently and substantially exceeds the number of new recognitions, it indicates a concerted effort to address the needs of the entire refugee population, including those in protracted situations who have been waiting years for a chance to move forward. It demonstrates a capacity to welcome new arrivals while simultaneously resolving longstanding cases, a critical component of a healthy and responsive asylum system. While preliminary 2025 data suggests a convergence of these trends, the period from 2022 to 2024 stands as a powerful testament to how dedicated policy and resources can create a substantial positive impact, offering dignified futures to thousands of the world’s most vulnerable.

AI Insight: Column chart of the number of durable solutions for forcibly displaced people in Canada from 2019 to 2025, where the number of solutions dropped sharply in 2020 before recovering and peaking in 2024., This column chart displays the trend in durable solutions for forcibly displaced people in Canada, with data grouped by year from 2019 to 2025. The vertical axis represents the number of individuals achieving a durable solution, such as resettlement or local integration.

A detailed statistical analysis shows a significant fluctuation over this period. In 2019, the average number of solutions was approximately 15,322. This figure experienced a steep decline to an average of 3,554 in 2020, a trend largely attributable to the global travel restrictions and procedural delays caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. A recovery began in 2021, with the average rising to 6,660. The number of solutions surged in 2022 to an average of 18,060, surpassing pre-pandemic levels as backlogs were processed and new commitments were made. After a slight dip in 2023 to an average of 16,394, the trend peaked in 2024 with the highest average of the period at 19,909. The data for 2025, showing a lower average of 6,332, is likely partial or preliminary.

AI Insight: Line chart with a ribbon area comparing refugee recognitions and solutions in Canada from 2019 to 2025, where the number of available solutions has significantly outpaced new recognitions from 2022 to 2024., This chart compares the annual number of refugee recognitions against the number of durable solutions provided in Canada for the period 2019 to 2025. A line for recognitions and a line for solutions are plotted over time, with the shaded area between them illustrating the gap.

Key Observations: - In 2019, solutions (61,288) significantly exceeded recognitions (27,275). - In 2020, both metrics saw a sharp decline, with recognitions (19,570) slightly surpassing solutions (14,214). This trend continued into 2021, with 33,801 recognitions versus 26,642 solutions. - A major shift occurred in 2022, where solutions surged to 72,240, more than double the 30,598 recognitions. - This surplus of solutions over recognitions continued through 2023 (65,575 vs. 39,735) and reached its peak in 2024 (79,636 vs. 48,671). - Projections for 2025 show a dramatic convergence, with recognitions at 25,457 and solutions at 25,326, nearly eliminating the gap.

Contextual Definitions: - ‘Refugee recognitions’ (a) refers to individuals who were granted refugee status during the year. - ‘Solutions’ (b) refer to durable outcomes for refugees, primarily including resettlement, local integration, and voluntary repatriation.